Setagaya世田谷区

People first. About 940,000 people live here — 1st largest of 48. On all five measures below, the mix of residents here sits close to the median of the 48. The table adds the range across census tracts.

Next, what gets built. Residential-only zoning — the designation that keeps shops, offices and workshops from going up next door — covers 79% of the zoned land here, against a median of 39% across the 48. Homes are built in commercial and industrial-type zones too, so this is not a measure of how much housing there is — it says what can be built beside you.

A typical resale trade (2LDK+) here is 65m² at ¥72M — high for the 48. The same figure runs ¥41M–¥155M across towns, so one number cannot decide it — the next section has the town-by-town table.

What comes up for sale is 55% 2LDK+ and 30% studio/1K — the mix of homes traded, not of who lives here (the median 2LDK+ share across the 48 is 63%). Homes sold here have a median age of 25 years (median of the 48: 24 years).

Renting? The going rates are about ¥109K/mo for a studio/1K, ¥182K/mo for a 1LDK and ¥253K/mo for a 2LDK (2LDK is high for the 48) — model estimates of asking rents derived from the town's sale prices.

Size, price and the headline rate are each their own median — taken across different trades, so the division will not match exactly. 2LDK+ has fewer than four trades in 7 of 57 towns, so the median of all layouts stands in there.

Of the 57 towns with a median, the priciest — Tamagawa — runs about ¥2.29M/m², roughly 3.1× the cheapest, Kamata at ¥729K/m². A single ward-wide figure hides that.

“Sample” counts all resale trades in the town (every layout). The price column is the median of 2LDK+ trades, but in 7 towns with fewer than four such trades we fall back to the median of all layouts. 2 more towns had trades but fewer than four, so they have no median and do not appear here (59 towns had trades in total). A small number means the figure is a rough indication. On narrow screens the “Age” column is hidden.

37% of the ward's inhabited land sits inside an assumed river-flood area.

Storm surge is assessed separately, and no assumed storm-surge area reaches the ward.

The assumed depth over that land is 3m or more for 3% (deep enough to reach a second floor), 0.5–3m for 16% (a first floor), and under 0.5m for 18%.

These maps cover river flooding and storm surge. They do not cover inland flooding — when drains and sewers cannot keep up with intense rain. Water pooling in low spots and underground floors happens outside the assumed areas too.

Median elevation is 38.5m, and 15% of it is on a steep slope (5% grade or more) — mid-range for the 48.

Ground: 1.3% of that land falls in the two most liquefaction-prone of the five bands — mid-range for the 48, and a further 18% falls in the next band down ("somewhat prone"). Liquefaction damages roads and buried utilities more than it topples buildings, so the risk shows up as how long water, gas and sewerage take to come back.

This is the assumed maximum scale — how deep water could get. Always check the official hazard map for your exact address.

Residential street crime in the ward runs at 22 incidents per km² of land a year — 25th lowest of 48. Across its neighbourhoods it runs 5–66 (middle 80%), a wider spread than the gap between municipalities.

Over 90% of this figure is bicycle theft (94% in Tokyo, 93% in the neighbouring prefectures); the rest is theft from vehicles. Snatching runs to about 420 cases a year in all of Tokyo. So it is closer to “how easily bikes get stolen here” than to violent crime.

Rates run higher around stations and busy streets, where many of the bikes belong to people passing through. It also varies between neighbourhoods inside one ward, so check the map at town level.

The nearest hub differs by location (Shibuya 83% · Shinjuku 17% · Shinagawa 1%): a median of 22 minutes door-to-door, ranging from 9 to 52 minutes depending on where in the ward you are. The nearest station is 475m away at the median (straight-line). 3 of the 141 survey points have no station within 1.5km and are excluded from the median and the range above. The table below lists station-level prices, ordered by number of trades — top 8 of the 38 with data; the rest can be expanded below it.

Across all 48 municipalities, the median distance to shops, clinics, schools, nurseries and parks falls between roughly 1 and 8 minutes on foot (straight-line distance at 80 m/min). It barely varies between areas, so it is no way to choose one; within any single area it varies a lot, so check the specific address.

Prices first: over the past decade, town medians here rose +4.5% a year — mid-range (computed for 53 of 57 towns). Past growth is no guarantee of future prices.

Redevelopment districts — where the city government intends to encourage redevelopment — number 5 here: 二子玉川東地区, 砧一丁目, 三軒茶屋,太子堂四丁目, 野沢四丁目 and 1 more.

Looking ahead, the typical block here is projected at +3.3% population by 2050 vs 2020 — roughly flat of the 48 (median across the ward's survey points, reading the 250m-grid projection; not a ward-total forecast).

Figures are aggregated by this app from public data: National Land Numerical Information, the Real Estate Library and City Planning Decision GIS data (MLIT), Kasaneru Hazard Map and elevation tiles (GSI), Census small areas (MIC), recognised offences (MPD / prefectural police), City Planning Decision GIS (Tokyo Metropolitan Government), and © OpenStreetMap contributors (ODbL) for shops, parks and other facilities. Processed by SUMIMAE — not published by those agencies. Reference information only; confirm on-site and against the originals.

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